Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.278281 0.328515 0.388485 0.466315 0.566092 0.691743 8.652986e-01
2025-01-26 0.208593 0.270504 0.354696 0.481648 0.676039 0.977175 1.512887e+00
2025-02-02 0.170526 0.236477 0.335189 0.502599 0.800354 1.358570 2.649385e+00
2025-02-09 0.144698 0.210946 0.317637 0.516461 0.918231 1.816634 4.547017e+00
2025-02-16 0.127144 0.193053 0.305847 0.533875 1.051488 2.427976 8.106939e+00
2025-02-23 0.113048 0.177382 0.293115 0.543841 1.175129 3.157616 1.462587e+01
2025-03-02 0.101465 0.163604 0.280175 0.548296 1.289647 4.025148 2.725370e+01
2025-03-09 0.091414 0.150729 0.265945 0.544806 1.382423 4.982827 5.214635e+01
2025-03-16 0.082324 0.138177 0.249749 0.531326 1.438673 5.915522 1.002078e+02
2025-03-23 0.077311 0.132625 0.247021 0.551417 1.626925 8.070461 3.353953e+02
2025-03-30 0.070659 0.122906 0.233390 0.537734 1.682157 9.577781 1.007341e+03
2025-04-06 0.066429 0.117511 0.228508 0.547724 1.847957 12.745569 1.216384e+04
2025-04-13 0.061589 0.110378 0.218670 0.540953 1.942578 15.902525 5.839526e+08
2025-04-20 0.058402 0.106361 0.215658 0.555299 2.164305 22.660474 NaN
2025-04-27 0.055971 0.103661 0.215409 0.579205 2.475699 35.391691 NaN
2025-05-04 0.053416 0.100371 0.213089 0.595484 2.772793 55.092048 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051264 0.097726 0.212000 0.616372 3.145366 93.915224 NaN
2025-05-18 0.048973 0.094503 0.208819 0.628378 3.483484 160.341390 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046669 0.091002 0.204321 0.633756 3.789033 278.318634 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044280 0.087066 0.198009 0.629527 4.010463 469.419482 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041757 0.082587 0.189526 0.613229 4.091584 711.913225 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040556 0.081186 0.189858 0.637528 4.705743 2518.754202 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038396 0.077247 0.182065 0.620972 4.788787 4987.432016 NaN